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Tuesday, 22 October 2019

Stormy G20 looms as Trump bashes China on trade

AFP , Thursday 27 Jun 2019
Trade Talks
File photo: President Trump sits across from Chinese President Xi Jinping during a working dinner after the G20 leaders summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina, December 1, 2018. (Reuters)
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China's Xi Jinping landed in Osaka Thursday ahead of what promises to be a stormy G20 meeting over trade, as US President Donald Trump lashed out at Beijing and vowed more tariffs.

The long-running trade war between the world's top two economies looked poised to dominate the agenda of the group of 20 summit in Osaka from Friday and Trump struck a characteristically bullish tone on departure.

"China's economy is going down the tubes -- they want to make a deal," Trump said in an interview with Fox Business Network.

Furious at what he sees as an unfair advantage in the trading system, Trump has already hit Beijing with $200 billion in levies on Chinese imports and appeared to threaten more.

"You have another $325 billion that I haven't taxed yet -- it's ripe for taxing, for putting tariffs on," he said in his interview.

Global markets are hoping the two economic superpowers can seal a truce to the trade conflict that has proved a major headwind to the world economy.

Most experts say a formal deal is unlikely at the G20 summit due to a lack of time to prepare the complex issues involved and believe a ceasefire and commitment to keep talking is the most likely outcome.

"I would be very, very surprised if they could work out all of these complicated disagreements in the next few days," said David Dollar, a China expert at the Washington-based Brookings Institution.

"What I'm looking for is whether there's some kind of mini-deal and the most important aspect of that would be the US agreeing to hold off on the next round of tariffs," added Dollar.

"I think if Xi Jinping and President Trump have some negotiations... that will have a very positive impact on the world economy," Naoyuki Yoshino, head of the Asian Development Bank Institute, told AFP.

- 'Never seeks war' -
While US-China trade is likely to dominate the meeting, world leaders are also facing a perfect storm of geopolitical hotspots from Iran to North Korea and Venezuela.

Tensions with Tehran are at fever pitch after Trump pulled back from military action at the last minute in response to the downing of an unmanned US drone.

Before leaving for the G20, Trump said he did not seek conflict with the long-time US foe but warned it "wouldn't last very long" if war did break out.

President Hassan Rouhani had earlier tried to rein in the crisis, saying that Iran "never seeks war" with the United States.

Iran will be one of several topics when Trump meets his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the meeting, along with arms control, the crisis in Venezuela, and Ukraine.

The keenly awaited meeting is overshadowed by a probe into Trump's relations with Russia and controversy that erupted the last time he held talks with the Kremlin leader in Finland in 2018.

"I'll have a very good conversation with him," Trump told reporters at the White House. "What I say to him is none of your business."

- Sony television -
Hosts Japan have desperately tried to steer attention away from the Trump show and on to the formal aspects of their G20 agenda, including the challenges posed by ageing populations and climate change.

"Confrontation tends to attract attention... but Japan, as the chair, hopes to find common ground rather than differences in opinions," said Prime Minister Shinzo Abe as he left Tokyo for Osaka.

But tensions over the final statement on climate change are likely to burst into the open, with a German source saying it was "particularly difficult this year" to reach agreement.

And Trump appeared in no mood for compromise, hitting out at traditional allies one-by-one, even his hosts.

"Almost all countries in this world take tremendous advantage of the United States. It's unbelievable," said the president.

He tweeted that tariffs imposed by India were "unacceptable", described Vietnam as the "single worst abuser" on trade, lashed Germany as "delinquent" and mocked Japan, which has been under a US military umbrella since World War II.

"If Japan is attacked, we will fight World War III. We will go in and protect them with our lives and with our treasure," he told Fox Business Network.

"But if we're attacked, Japan doesn't have to help us. They can watch it on a Sony television."

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