Markets drop as Fed hike looms, Putin move lifts dollar and oil

AP , Wednesday 21 Sep 2022

Stocks fell Wednesday ahead of what many expect to be a third successive jumbo interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, while the dollar hit fresh multi-decade highs against the pound and euro after Moscow stepped up its war in Ukraine.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Aug. 10, 2022. AP


Equities around the world have been clattered by fears of a recession in major economies as central banks ramp up borrowing costs to combat the highest inflation in decades, which has been compounded by the Ukraine war and supply chain snarls.

In Washington, the Fed is due to conclude its latest policy meeting, with most analysts predicting it will announce another 75 basis-point lift, though some have tipped a full percentage-point move.

However, while the hike has largely been priced into the markets, the US central bank's forecast and post-meeting comments from boss Jerome Powell are the main attraction for investors.

"Volumes remain light and the mood cautious, with few looking to take on large positions before hearing what the Fed says and where policy makers see rates going by the end of the hiking cycle," Fiona Cincotta, at City Index, said.

"This is what will drive the markets, not the rate hike... but what the Fed plans to do next."

Fed officials have for months stuck to the mantra that they will only ease up on their hawkish drive when inflation comes down and remains subdued.

This has led many to warn that rates are unlikely to come down anytime soon, possibly as late as 2024, with a recession more than likely in the United States as well as other major economies.

- Dollar extends rally -

Other central banks are also meeting this week. On Tuesday, officials in Sweden surprised markets by unveiling a one percentage-point hike, while the United Kingdom and Switzerland are expected to announce more increases.

Asian markets were back in the red, reversing Tuesday's bounce.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Sydney and Manila were all down more than one percent, while there were also losses in Shanghai, Seoul, Singapore, Wellington, Taipei, Mumbai and Jakarta.

London, Paris and Frankfurt opened on the back foot.

Adding to the dour mood was Vladimir Putin's announcement of a "partial mobilisation" as he upped the ante in his battle against Ukraine after his forces were routed from several cities in recent weeks.

He added that he would annex the territories his forces have already occupied and backed weekend referendums in four regions in Russian-held parts of Ukraine.

"We will definitely use all means available" to protect Russian territory, he warned, adding: "That's not a bluff."

The moves mark an escalation of the seven-month war, which has roiled markets and sparked an energy crisis.

Oil prices, which have wilted in recent months owing to worries about demand caused by any recession, surged more than two percent.

And the dollar, a safe haven in times of uncertainty and turmoil and which was already elevated ahead of the rate decision, rallied further.

It hit a fresh 37-year high of $1.1305 against sterling and a new 20-year peak of $0.9885 per euro.

- Key figures at around 0720 GMT -

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.4 percent at 27,313.13 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.5 percent at 18,491.81

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.2 percent at 3,117.18 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3 percent at 7,174.71

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $0.9902 from $0.9977 on Tuesday

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 143.68 yen from 143.72 yen

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.1337 from $1.1384

Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.30 pence from 87.63 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 2.7 percent at $86.17 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 2.4 percent at $92.80 per barrel

New York - Dow: DOWN 1.0 percent at 30,706.23 (close)

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