Transforming the entire Middle East is a far greater endeavour than Israel's ambitions, power, or influence. Indeed, it exceeds the capacity of any global superpower, no matter its might or reach.
Although we might witness shifts in individual countries driven by regional conflicts and crises, Netanyahu’s vision of reshaping a region that has been largely stable for decades — even if only relatively so — is far from reality.
If Netanyahu envisions a "new Middle East" where Israel would decisively defeat Hamas and Hezbollah, he should acknowledge that Hamas remains integral to Palestinian society and Hezbollah remains embedded in Lebanon’s political landscape.
Israel may succeed in weakening these groups’ military capacities, yet eliminating them as entities or ideas is virtually impossible, no matter how long Israel’s campaign of destruction on Gaza and southern Lebanon endures.
If Netanyahu sees this “new Middle East” as one where Israel will seamlessly integrate into the Arab and regional systems, he should recognize that even the decades-old peace treaties with some Arab countries have failed to achieve such integration.
I am confident that Israel’s integration dreams will remain out of reach as long as it pursues aggressive policies and as long as the Palestinian issue remains unresolved in a fair, comprehensive, and lasting manner.
Moreover, Israel’s ambitions to dominate the region and achieve popular normalization will ultimately fall short, even with the unwavering US support.
Recently, Israel’s hopes for normalizing relations with Saudi Arabia hit a significant barrier at the "International Coalition for the Two-State Solution" conference in Riyadh, where the Saudi foreign minister stated unequivocally that normalization with Israel would not be possible without establishing a Palestinian state.
He emphasized the need for a two-state solution with concrete measures to ensure the Palestinian right to self-determination.
Surprisingly, I agree with Netanyahu — albeit for the first time in my life — that the Middle East may change. However, any genuine transformation would mean only one thing: the establishment of a sovereign Palestinian state, living in peace and security alongside Israel through diplomatic negotiations.
Any other vision Netanyahu promotes is baseless and will amount to nothing, whether he remains in office until 2026 or is succeeded by another government that shares his dismissive stance toward peace.
In light of this, I would pose several questions to Netanyahu if he sincerely seeks to bring positive change to the Middle East to secure Israel’s peace and security.
- Will the genocide Israel has waged on Gaza for over a year foster peace in the region? Or will it instead create generations who have witnessed atrocities and are left with no choice but to seek vengeance, fueled by deep-seated anger and despair?
- Is the forced displacement of innocent civilians from Gaza and southern Lebanon truly the path to security for Israel? Even if such measures could bring temporary stability, they will not last, and Israel will inevitably face repeated conflicts in Gaza, the West Bank, southern Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Iran — without achieving a lasting victory, as temporary solutions breed only temporary security.
- Does assassinating Palestinian and Lebanese leaders constitute a legitimate means for Israel to fulfil its security and political objectives? Or will such actions perpetuate an ongoing cycle of mutual assassinations with no foreseeable end?
- Will the daily massacres Israel commits against hundreds of thousands of civilians in Gaza and southern Lebanon lead to the impossible defeat of Palestine and Lebanon?
- Who will ultimately bear the consequences of these unjust wars that have led to catastrophic outcomes? Will Netanyahu and his extremist government shoulder the blame, or will the Israeli people suffer the repercussions, robbed of any chance at lasting peace and stability?
In conclusion, I believe Israel’s dreams of transforming the Middle East and integrating into the region are mere illusions. Israel will not achieve any of these goals, no matter the extent of its destructive military power or the level of US support it receives.
If Israel sincerely desires peace, stability, and security in the region, there is only one path: the establishment of a Palestinian state. Without this, instability and insecurity will continue to define not only Israel’s future but the future of the Middle East as a whole.
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