Real Madrid's Italian coach Carlo Ancelotti gives a press conference on the eve of their UEFA Champions League football match against Manchester City at Real Madrid Sports City in Valdebebas, in the outskirts of Madrid, on February 18, 2025. (AFP)
European champions Madrid hold a 3-2 lead on City, who have struggled this season and are fourth in the Premier League, ahead of the play-off round second leg on Wednesday at the Santiago Bernabeu.
After thrashing Newcastle 4-0 on Saturday, Guardiola said English champions City have only a one percent chance of ousting the record 15-time European Cup winners.
"He does not truly think that, tomorrow I'll ask him before the game -- do you really think you've got a one percent chance?" Ancelotti told a news conference.
"He really thinks they've got more chance than that... we don't think we have 99 percent chance.
"We think we have a small advantage that we have to take advantage of, and try to play the same game we set up in the first leg, which went well."
Ancelotti confirmed defender Antonio Rudiger was fit to start for the holders after injury but Lucas Vazquez would only be ready for the bench.
The coach reiterated his frustration with Spanish refereeing, following some controversial decisions which went against his side in recent La Liga matches.
Ancelotti said he was more comfortable with refereeing in the Champions League.
"Statistics speak for themselves, in Europe there's less controversy in this sense, there are less VAR interventions," said Ancelotti.
"The VAR only intervenes when it's necessary, and usually the Champions League features the best referees from each country, so the quality is very high in this sense."
England international Jude Bellingham was sent off for dissent during Madrid's 1-1 draw at Osasuna on Saturday in La Liga.
Bellingham's team-mate Federico Valverde said he did not want the midfielder to change his ways.
"What I want is players who leave their soul out on the pitch, in this case with Jude in the last game, I always want him to be like that," Valverde told reporters.
"Jude is a player who shows character, who always wants to win, who always wants to fight.
"This time he got a red card, but I like that he's giving everything, his spikiness... we have to stay united as a team."
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