Oil climbs above $109 as Libyan ports stay shut

Reuters, Monday 16 Dec 2013

Supply concerns revived after Libya fails to reach a deal with tribal leaders to end oil ports blockade

Libya oil
A general view of the port and Zawiya Oil Refinery, 55 km west of the city of Tripoli August 22, 2013 (Photo:Reuters)

 Brent crude oil rose above $109 a barrel on Monday as supply concerns revived after Libya failed to reach a deal with tribal leaders to end the blockade of several oil-exporting ports.

The closure of key Libyan oil ports is preventing the export of several hundred thousand barrels per day (bpd) of high quality, light crude, tightening an oil market that might otherwise be fairly well supplied.

Brent futures for January rose $1.11 a barrel to a high of $109.94 before easing to around $109.83 by 1015 GMT, up $1.00. The contract posted a loss of 2.5 percent last week.

U.S. crude futures rose 45 cents to $97.05 after ending 90 cents lower on Friday, down 1 percent for the week.

Libyan port blockages, along with strikes by oil workers, civil servants, tribesmen and other protesters at oilfields across the desert country, have cut vital oil exports to only around 110,000 bpd from more than 1 million in July.

"This means that approximately 600,000 bpd of potential exports will remain off the market," JBC Energy Managing Director David Wech said.

Analysts worry Libya is sliding into chaos as the government struggles to rein in militias and tribesmen who helped topple Muammar Gaddafi in 2011 but kept their weapons and control parts of the OPEC-member country.

"This latest disappointment only reinforces our view that Libyan production will struggle to exceed 800,000 bpd in 2014," Morgan Stanley oil analyst Adam Longson said.

"Resolving deep disagreements will likely require material changes at the federal level, and threats by the government to use force only risk exacerbating the situation."

Investors awaited a U.S. Federal Reserve decision on how soon to end its monetary stimulus, which has been a key driver of investment in global commodities.

The U.S. central bank meets on Tuesday and Wednesday to discuss the gradual tapering of its stimulus programme and opinion is divided on whether it will move this week or wait for early next year.

A cut in its stimulus would boost the dollar, weighing on most commodities, including oil.

"Markets were initially expecting tapering to be announced in March 2014 but with increased prospects of an earlier tapering, markets will continue to be jittery," analysts at Phillip Futures said in a note.

Data on Monday showed China's vast factory sector expanded for the fifth straight month, but the reading in December slowed to a three-month low. 

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