RECAP : Estimated Seat Breakdown after First round of elections

Egypt Election Watch (Ahram Online and Jadaliyya), Friday 16 Dec 2011

Estimated Seat Breakdown after Runoff (as of 7 December 2011)

List                                                Seats before Runoff            Runoff Gains*           Total

Freedom and Justice                                      42                                    31**                     73 (49%)

Al-Nour                                                            26                                    4***                     30 (20%)

Egyptian Bloc                                                  13                                    2                          15 (10%)

Wafd                                                              10                                    1                          11 (7%)

Revolution Continues                                       5                                     1****                      6 (4%)

Al-Wasat                                                           4                                     0                           4

Reform and Development                               2                                     0                           2

National Party of Egypt                                   1                                      1                          2

Egyptian Citizen                                              1                                      1                          2

Freedom                                                         1                                      0                           1

Al-Adl                                                              0                                      1                           1

Independents                                                 1                                       2                           3

Total                                                             106                                    44                        150

*Includes all but two races in Cairo’s district #1, two races in Alexandria's district #3, two races in Assiut district #2 and two races in Assiut's district #3 (scheduled for a re-vote on January 10-11).

**Includes FJP allied candidates Mohamed Al-Khodeiri, Hosni Dowidar, and Khaled Megahed. Freedom and Justice list includes candidates from the parties of the "Democratic Alliance for Egypt"

***Al-Nour's winners include Building and Development candidate Bayoumi Ismail. Al-Nour and the parties of the "Islamist Bloc" (Building and Development Party and Asala Party) are contesting the election through a joint election roster under Al-Nour's name.

A note on seat distribution for party-list races: The seat distribution for party-list races displayed in the tables below is not part of the official results released by the Higher Elections Commission. The editors computed the results using a largest remainder "hare" quota, though it should be noted that some observersbelieve that the exact method that Egyptian authorities will use to determine seat allocation in party-list races has not been thoroughly explained. Also the seat distribution below assumes that all parties will cross the legally-mandated threshold of 0.5 percent of the nationwide vote



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