Moussa and Abul-Fotouh head Al-Ahram presidential elections poll

Zeinab El Gundy, Monday 23 Apr 2012

The poll conducted from 14-16 April shows the former minister of foreign affairs Moussa still in the lead while liberal-Islamist Abul-Fotouh would win the Salafist vote after their candidate Abu-Ismail was excluded

polling station
A man looks at a list of candidates before voting in a polling station (photo: Reuters)

Hazem Salah Abu-Ismail would come first if he were not excluded from the presidential race, taking more than 25 percent of the votes, according to an Al-Ahram poll.

The poll was conducted before the decision of the Supreme Presidential Electoral Commission to exclude three of the main presidential contenders, Abu-Ismail, Khairat El-Shater and Omar Suleiman. The poll showed Hazem Salah Abu-Ismail came in first with 25.2%, then Omar Suleiman in second place with 21.3%, followed by Amr Moussa in the third place with 20.1%. Abdel Moneim Abul-Fotouh trailed in fourth place with 14.5%, followed by Hamdeen Sabbahi with 5.8% and Khairat El-Shater with 3.7%

According to the same poll, the second best presidential candidate for Hazem Abu-Ismail’s supporters was Abul-Fotouh with 25.8%, followed by Amr Moussa with 20.8% and Khairat El-Shater with 20.5%.

The second best presidential candidate for Khater El-Shater’s supporters was Abu-Ismail with 54.3% followed by Mohamed Morsi with12.6%, and Abul-Fotouh with 11.6%.

The second best presidential candidate for Omar Suleiman supporters according to the poll was Amr Moussa with 35.6% followed by Ahmed Shafiq with 22.2%, Abul-Fotouh with 12.4%, then Hazem Salah Abu Ismail with 12.3%.

Considering the decision of the Supreme Presidential Electoral Commission to exclude Abu-Ismail, Suleiman and El-Shater, the Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic Studies surmised that the favourite potential presidential candidate among the sample was Moussa. They calculated that Moussa has support of 40.9%, followed by Abul-Fotouh with 25.2%, Ahmed Shafiq with 10.5%, and Sabbahi with 9.3%.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s potential presidential candidate Mohamed Morsi – fielded as a back-up in case El-Shater was not able to run – trailed behind with a low ranking of 0.9%.

The poll is conducted on a weekly basis by Al-Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic studies, and its results are published every Sunday. This week's poll was conducted 14-16 April, that is to say before the decision of the Supreme Presidential Electoral Commission’s final decision to exclude potential presidential candidates Hazem Salah Abu-Ismail, Omar Suleiman and Khairat El-Shater after refusing their petitions.

The poll takes a representative sample of 1200 citizens from all over the country, excluding the governorates of the Red Sea, New Valley, North and South Sinai and Marsa Matrouh.

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