Egypt’s accelerated push to localise manufacturing in key sectors like the automotive sector, ICT, and healthcare signals a bold transformation in its economic strategy.
This shift, embodied in the government’s National Initiative for Industry, is designed to boost exports, reduce reliance on imports, and strengthen the trade balance. The government aims to bolster the country’s foreign-exchange reserves and build a more resilient economy by focusing on local production. While this ambitious move presents significant opportunities for growth, it also introduces challenges, particularly for multinational corporations (MNCs) operating in the country.
Localising manufacturing can stimulate the economy in several ways. By creating jobs, it can reduce unemployment and foster skills development among the workforce. Furthermore, reducing import dependency allows the country to conserve foreign exchange, a crucial factor in stabilising the pound and controlling inflation. The increased focus on exports could help narrow the trade deficit, positioning Egypt as a more competitive player in the global market.
For MNCs, the localisation effort could offer long-term benefits, such as reduced production and logistical costs, given Egypt’s relatively low labour costs and strategic location as a gateway to both Africa and the Middle East. Additionally, MNCs that align with the government’s localisation goals might benefit from favourable policies, including tax incentives, subsidies, and preferential treatment in Government contracts. These benefits could enhance profitability and market positioning in a rapidly growing economy.
However, the immediate impact of the shift towards localisation for MNCs might also include increased capital expenditure to establish or expand manufacturing facilities. The need to source raw materials and components locally could also disrupt existing supply chains, particularly if local suppliers are not yet capable of meeting global standards in terms of quality, quantity, or consistency.
Moreover, the policy might inadvertently make Egypt less attractive to foreign investors if not managed carefully. The increased regulatory requirements and pressure to localise could deter companies accustomed to relying on global supply chains for efficiency and cost-effectiveness. There is also the risk that in the short term the localisation drive could lead to a mismatch between the skills available in the local labour market and the demands of advanced manufacturing sectors, potentially hindering productivity and growth.
To mitigate these negative impacts, the Government should adopt a balanced approach. Implementing localisation in phases will give MNCs the time to adapt while ensuring local suppliers can rise to the challenge. This gradual approach will prevent disruptions and lay the foundations for sustained growth. Moreover, investing in cutting-edge education and vocational training programmes tailored to the demands of advanced manufacturing will ensure that the local workforce is well-prepared, making Egypt an irresistible destination for high-tech industries.
Enhancing infrastructure — think world-class logistics, reliable energy, and seamless telecommunications — will further reduce costs and make localisation an attractive, rather than daunting, prospect for MNCs. In addition, fostering public-private partnerships (PPPs) will harness the expertise of MNCs while boosting local industry, ensuring that localisation drives competitiveness, not just compliance.
For MNCs, the key to thriving in this new environment lies in flexibility and strategic local engagement. Forging strategic alliances with local firms to share technology and expertise will not only build a reliable supply chain but also earn goodwill and government support. Investing in corporate social responsibility initiatives that align with national goals, such as community development and skill-building programmes, will enhance the brand and ensure long-term stability.
Developing business models that are flexible enough to meet local production and sourcing demands while maintaining global standards will also be crucial. Adaptability will be a significant asset in a dynamic regulatory environment.
Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 provides a compelling blueprint for Egypt as it embarks on its localisation journey. Initiatives like the Saudi National Industrial Development and Logistics Programme (NIDLP) and the In-Kingdom Total Value Add (IKTVA) Programme, along with the establishment of the Local Content and Government Procurement Authority (LCGPA), have effectively attracted foreign investment while strengthening local industries by combining clear government communication with substantial incentives.
If Egypt adopts a similar strategy emphasising transparency, offering tangible benefits, and fostering a robust framework for collaboration, it can turn its localisation efforts into a mutually beneficial endeavour for both the country and the multinational corporations concerned.
Egypt’s localisation initiative represents a bold step towards economic self-sufficiency and resilience. But the real test lies in balancing the demands of local industrial development with the needs of MNCs. By embracing a phased approach, investing in local capabilities, and fostering collaboration between the public and private sectors, Egypt has the chance to create a thriving environment for both the country and the MNCs that choose to invest in its future.
For MNCs, the path forwards is clear: flexibility, local engagement, and a commitment to investing in Egypt’s economic future will not only navigate the challenges but also unlock immense opportunities in this dynamic market.
*The writer is an economic advisor at the UK-based IBIS Consultancy.
* A version of this article appears in print in the 29 August, 2024 edition of Al-Ahram Weekly
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