Mediators are working on an amended version of Iran’s seven-day peace proposal with the US, writes Manal Lotfy
|
The current pause in the war between the US and Iran is a strategic intermission born of military depletion and a lack of political gains, paving the way for renewed diplomatic initiatives.
|
Iranian decision-makers believe that the US has few viable military or political options left beyond a retreat from the region and that the balance of power has decisively shifted in their favour.
|
Iran’s defence doctrine under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is placing a greater emphasis on credible retaliation, mosaic defence, and forward defence than was the case under his father’s rule.
|
The US-Iran confrontation has moved beyond calibrated deterrence into a crisis with potentially far-reaching regional implications.
|
Hardliners in the US, Iran, and Israel are seeing military escalation as a strategic opening after the breakdown of the US-Iran peace agreement.
|
With former Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s funeral in Tehran this week, the certainties of a whole era in Iran’s history have also been laid to rest.
|
A 60-day test of last week’s agreement between the US and Iran is beginning with Iran’s oil waiver and Lebanon’s deconfliction mechanism.
|
The success of the US-Iran agreement will depend less on the symbolism of its signing than on the ability of both sides to bridge gaps in expectations during its implementation.
|
A deal between Washington and Tehran has been taking shape this week with the involvement of regional powers even if it is lacking in detail.
|
The region is trapped in a suspended conflict in which all sides are simultaneously preparing both for negotiations and for further war.
|
With talks stalled and a naval blockade tightening, Washington and Tehran are drifting towards a harsher round of conflict even if a sudden settlement remains possible.
|
Iran and the US are clashing over the pace and content of a potential peace deal to end the US-Israeli war on Iran.
|
By attempting to control maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Washington may be inadvertently amplifying the very instability it seeks to contain.
|
Tehran’s losses in the US-Israeli war have been measurable and devastating, while America’s have been more diffuse – and potentially far more consequential.
|
The world is breathing a sigh of relief after the two-week ceasefire in the US-Israeli war on Iran was announced, writes Manal Lotfy
|
Trump’s five-day deadline for Iran announced earlier this week is hanging precariously in a deepening fog about US intentions and what Iran will accept to end the war.
|
Tehran has responded extensively and across a wide geographical area to the Israeli-American attacks on the country this week.
|
Iran’s protests, born of economic pain, now carry regime-level stakes. Washington wavers between threats and diplomacy, while global powers diverge. Instability looms, exposing US strategic void and Iran’s institutional resilience.
|
With the largest protests seen for years now taking place in Iran, US President Donald Trump’s promise to “rescue” the protestors can only ring hollow.
|